StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-29 20:06 UTC — MLB

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Washington Nationals (Heim)

Prognose 50.35%1.99faire Quote
EV -1.81%
Vorteil -0.929%
Kelly -1.91%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
50.00%50.38%50.33%51.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.811.891.901.9555.25%52.81%52.77%51.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 49.65%2.01faire Quote
EV -1.70%
Vorteil -0.858%
Kelly -1.73%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.98

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
48.95%49.62%49.67%50.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.851.921.921.9854.05%52.01%52.22%50.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Washington Nationals (Heim): 50.35%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 49.65%. Für Miami Marlins (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.01. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 1.98, bei einem Erwartungswert von -1.70%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:36
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:45
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.69%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.35%E -3.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -8.86%E -4.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 19:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:01
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:30
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%9.6%2026-08-29 01:45