Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-08-29 20:06 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 5–4 Miami Marlins

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 49.30%2.03odd justa
EV -0.917%
Vantagem -0.456%
Kelly -0.907%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.75%49.28%49.33%50.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.921.912.0154.64%52.05%52.36%49.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 50.70%1.97odd justa
EV -0.619%
Vantagem -0.316%
Kelly -0.644%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.47%50.72%50.67%52.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.891.891.9655.56%53.00%52.91%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 49.30%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 50.70%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.96, com valor esperado de -0.619%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Caesars🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.917%E -0.456%K -0.907%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%EV -1.41%E -0.705%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-29 19:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.41%E -0.705%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-29 19:59
Everygame🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 20:02
theScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-29 19:35
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 20:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.73%E -4.85%K -10.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 19:35
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.619%E -0.316%K -0.644%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-29 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:30
GTbets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:30
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 19:14
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.38%E -1.73%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.63%E -0.842%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-29 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-29 19:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.87%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 19:40
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.69%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-29 20:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 19:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:04
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.35%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 14:25
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:05
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 20:04
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 02:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 20:04
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 20:04
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 17:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 19:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.93%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.69%E -3.06%K -6.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 20:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:54
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 19:58
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -6.83%E -3.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 18:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -6.83%E -3.61%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.72%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-29 20:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.65%E -1.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 18:20
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -4.17%E -2.21%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.32%E -3.90%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.68%E -2.49%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 20:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.31%E -4.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 20:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -8.31%E -4.47%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 20:05
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.80%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.35%K -7.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.79%E -5.35%K -11.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%0.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Novig◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-08-29 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-29 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-29 20:05
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-29 19:15
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-08-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-29 20:05
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-08-29 20:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-29 20:05
BetOpenly◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.4%2026-08-29 20:00