Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-29 20:06 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 50.35%1.99cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%50.38%50.33%51.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.891.901.9555.25%52.81%52.77%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.65%2.01cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.858%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.95%49.62%49.67%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.921.9854.05%52.01%52.22%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 50.35% ; Miami Marlins (Visiteur) : 49.65%. Pour Miami Marlins (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.01. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.98, pour une espérance de -1.70% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:36
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:45
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.69%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.35%E -3.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -8.86%E -4.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 19:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:01
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:30
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%9.6%2026-08-29 01:45