Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Miami Marlins

2026-08-29 20:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 50.35%1.99momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%50.38%50.33%51.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.811.891.901.9555.25%52.81%52.77%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 49.65%2.01momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.858%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.95%49.62%49.67%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.921.9854.05%52.01%52.22%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Nationals (Local): 50.35%; Miami Marlins (Visitante): 49.65%. Para Miami Marlins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.01. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.98, con un valor esperado de -1.70%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-28 23:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.81%E -0.929%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 21:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Caesars🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-28 23:36
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.70%E -0.858%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.20%E -1.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-29 01:04
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 01:45
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:00
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -2.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 18:30
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 22:00
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.28%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 01:39
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.69%E -1.37%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.65%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.35%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.83%E -2.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 23:50
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.68%E -1.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 22:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-29 00:20
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.34%E -2.84%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.18%E -2.17%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:19
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 00:20
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 20:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.84%E -3.12%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.34%E -3.41%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.17%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -7.35%E -3.99%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 00:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.36%E -4.59%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 00:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -8.86%E -4.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -8.15%E -4.41%K -9.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-08-28 23:25
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-28 19:15
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:01
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-29 01:30
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-08-28 23:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 50.14%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.86%9.6%2026-08-29 01:45