The School of OddsWashington Nationals v Houston Astros
Head to Head
Option 1: Washington Nationals (Local)
Odds
1.6759.88%Min
1.7357.68%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.7856.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
54.09%1.849Min
55.70%1.795Max
55.13%1.814Mean
55.06%1.816Median
55.10%1.815IQM
55.14%1.814Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 55.10%
EV -1.92%Edge -1.08%Kelly -2.46%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Houston Astros (Visit)
Odds
2.0548.78%Min
2.1247.09%Mean
2.1247.17%Median
2.2045.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.30%2.257Min
45.91%2.178Max
44.87%2.229Mean
44.94%2.225Median
44.90%2.227IQM
44.86%2.229Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 44.90%
EV -1.22%Edge -0.554%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) ▼ | Houston Astros (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.94%EV -1.92% E -1.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.06%EV -2.57% E -1.18% K -2.19% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.94%EV -1.92% E -1.08% K -2.46% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.06%EV -2.57% E -1.18% K -2.19% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-08 00:20 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.42%EV -2.47% E -1.40% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 44.58%EV -1.22% E -0.554% K -1.02% G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.47% E -1.40% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.12% E -0.971% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.47% E -1.40% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.12% E -0.971% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50% NM 55.19%EV -2.47% E -1.40% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87% NM 44.81%EV -2.12% E -0.971% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 23:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.24%EV -3.58% E -2.04% K -4.77% G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30% NM 44.76%EV -3.02% E -1.40% K -2.60% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.58% E -2.04% K -4.77% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -3.91% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 00:03 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.58% E -2.04% K -4.77% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -3.91% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.58% E -2.04% K -4.77% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -3.91% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.01%EV -3.58% E -2.04% K -4.77% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.99%EV -3.91% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 19:40 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 20:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.36% E -2.05% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-07 20:30 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.04%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 44.96%EV -4.36% E -2.05% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-08 00:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -4.13% E -2.37% K -5.58% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -7.95% E -3.88% K -7.58% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-08 00:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.41%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.59%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.81% E -2.27% K -4.30% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.95%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39% NM 45.05%EV -5.26% E -2.49% K -4.74% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 01:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:16 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.68% E -2.70% K -6.41% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.23% E -3.04% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.56%EV -5.23% E -3.04% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.44%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.23% E -3.04% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.23% E -3.04% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-07 19:15 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.23% E -3.04% K -7.26% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 01:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.78% E -3.38% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -5.78% E -3.38% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -3.46% E -1.61% K -3.01% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.78% E -3.38% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 00:02 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -5.78% E -3.38% K -8.14% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.71% E -2.72% K -5.19% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.03%EV -6.33% E -3.72% K -9.04% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 44.97%EV -6.61% E -3.18% K -6.12% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.91%EV -6.33% E -3.72% K -9.04% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.09%EV -7.06% E -3.41% K -6.59% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-08 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52% NM 54.96%EV -7.43% E -4.42% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.04%EV -7.95% E -3.88% K -7.58% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.11%EV -7.98% E -4.78% K -11.92% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 44.89%EV -7.95% E -3.88% K -7.58% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-08 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) | Houston Astros (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87% NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05% NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 00:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95% NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 20:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95% NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 19:20 |
| ProphetX | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30% NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-07-08 01:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.74% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.26% | 9.4% | 2026-07-08 00:10 |