The School of OddsLanguage:English
Washington Nationals v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Nationals (Local)
Prediction 55.11%1.81fair odd
EV -0.808%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.72%54.98%55.24%56.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.38%57.47%55.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 44.89%2.23fair odd
EV +0.112%
Edge +0.050%
Kelly +0.091%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.97%45.02%44.76%46.28%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.102.2349.50%47.37%47.62%44.84%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-08 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.68%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-08 21:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-08 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BetAnything | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-08 20:34 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-08 00:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-08 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 18:15 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 19:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 22:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 10:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-08 20:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.808%E -0.449%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| ReBet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-08 20:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 01:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-08 22:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-08 15:20 |
| Bovada | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-08 20:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| Casumo | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 22:39 |
| Betsson | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-08 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 21:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 22:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 20:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-08 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.87%E -4.37%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 22:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 20:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91% | -0.1% | 2026-07-08 22:44 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 13:00 |
| Novig | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.1% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.0% | 2026-07-08 22:45 |