La escuela de los momios

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-07-08 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 8–2 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 55.11%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.808%
Ventaja -0.449%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.72%54.98%55.24%56.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.38%57.47%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 44.89%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.112%
Ventaja +0.050%
Kelly +0.091%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%45.02%44.76%46.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.112.102.2349.50%47.37%47.62%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.68%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 21:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 21:14
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:34
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 00:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 02:35
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 22:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:19
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 10:49
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:24
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.808%E -0.449%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 20:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:19
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 22:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:43
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 15:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:44
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:14
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:19
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.87%E -4.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:19
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 20:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-07-08 22:44
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 13:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-08 22:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-08 22:45