L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-08 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 8–2 Houston Astros

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 55.11%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.808%
Avantage -0.449%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.72%54.98%55.24%56.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.38%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Houston Astros (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.89%2.23cote équitable
EV +0.112%
Avantage +0.050%
Kelly +0.091%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.97%45.02%44.76%46.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.112.102.2349.50%47.37%47.62%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.68%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 21:15
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 21:14
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:34
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 00:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 02:35
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 22:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:45
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:25
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:30
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:19
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 10:49
MyBookie.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:24
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.808%E -0.449%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 20:55
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:19
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 22:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:43
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:44
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 15:20
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:44
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:14
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:44
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:39
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:19
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.87%E -4.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:19
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 20:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-07-08 22:44
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 13:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-08 22:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-08 22:45