默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals v Houston Astros

开赛时间: 2026-07-08 22:46 UTC

最终结果: Washington Nationals 8–2 Houston Astros

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Nationals (主队)

预测 55.11%1.81公平赔率
EV -0.808%
优势 -0.449%
Kelly -1.01%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
53.72%54.98%55.24%56.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.38%57.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Houston Astros (客队)

预测 44.89%2.23公平赔率
EV +0.112%
优势 +0.050%
Kelly +0.091%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.23

博彩公司预测分布
43.97%45.02%44.76%46.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.022.112.102.2349.50%47.37%47.62%44.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Nationals (主队):55.11%;Houston Astros (客队):44.89%。 对于“Houston Astros (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.228。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.230,对应+0.112%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:20
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.112%E +0.050%K +0.091%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-08 22:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -0.786%E -0.355%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:20
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.68%E -0.769%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-08 21:15
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-08 21:14
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-08 22:35
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.13%E -0.978%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-08 20:34
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -3.03%E -1.40%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-08 00:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-08 02:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 18:15
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:45
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 22:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:20
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.48%E -1.62%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 10:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-08 20:24
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.83%E -2.28%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 20:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.808%E -0.449%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-08 20:55
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-08 20:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 22:44
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 01:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 22:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.77%E -3.37%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-08 22:43
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 22:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.72%E -2.73%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 15:20
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -6.17%E -2.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -1.91%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-08 21:00
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-08 20:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.56%E -2.04%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-08 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.62%E -3.18%K -6.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -2.46%E -1.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-08 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:39
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.07%E -3.42%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-08 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -3.01%E -1.71%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -7.52%E -3.65%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 21:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.67%E -2.70%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 20:19
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.22%E -3.03%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.97%E -3.89%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.32%E -3.72%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -8.87%E -4.37%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -4.11%E -2.36%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -9.32%E -4.61%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 20:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.85I 54.05%NM 54.09%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.91%-0.1%2026-07-08 22:44
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 13:00
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-08 22:45
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-07-08 22:45
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-07-08 22:45
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-07-08 22:45