StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Matchstart: 2026-05-15 22:46 UTC

Slutresultat: Washington Nationals 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Washington Nationals (Hemma)

Prognos 44.12%2.27rättvist odds
EV +0.148%
Fördel +0.065%
Kelly +0.117%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.86%44.11%44.17%45.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.162.152.2747.62%46.33%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Baltimore Orioles (Borta)

Prognos 55.88%1.79rättvist odds
EV -1.09%
Fördel -0.615%
Kelly -1.41%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
54.83%55.89%55.83%57.14%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.26%58.48%56.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Washington Nationals (Hemma): 44.12%; Baltimore Orioles (Borta): 55.88%. För Washington Nationals (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.267. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.270, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.148%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:43
Everygame🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 16:29
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:40
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:20
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:45
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:33
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.09%E -0.615%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:43
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 22:45
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 13:25
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 19:35
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:42
Bovada🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 22:44
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:20
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 20:19
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:19
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 22:39
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (10)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%0.2%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-15 22:45
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-15 22:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-15 18:25