La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Washington Nationals (Local)
Predicción 44.12%2.27momio equitativo
EV +0.148%
Ventaja +0.065%
Kelly +0.117%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.11%44.17%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.162.152.2747.62%46.33%46.51%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 55.88%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.89%55.83%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.26%58.48%56.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.117%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| BetUS | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 22:43 |
| Everygame | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 16:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| BetAnything | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-15 22:20 |
| ReBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-14 23:45 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 05:33 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.09%E -0.615%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:43 |
| DraftKings | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 13:25 |
| Caesars | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-14 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 22:42 |
| Bovada | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Betsson | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 17:21 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:20 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-14 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 20:19 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:19 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 22:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:40 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| BetOpenly | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11% | 1.3% | 2026-05-15 22:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Novig | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 18:25 |