A Escola das Odds

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-05-15 22:46 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 44.12%2.27odd justa
EV +0.148%
Vantagem +0.065%
Kelly +0.117%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.11%44.17%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.162.152.2747.62%46.33%46.51%44.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 55.88%1.79odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -1.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%55.89%55.83%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.26%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:43
Everygame2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 16:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:40
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:33
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.09%E -0.615%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:05
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:43
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 22:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 13:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 19:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:42
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 22:44
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 22:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 20:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:19
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%0.2%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-15 22:45
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-15 22:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-15 18:25