مدرسة الاحتمالات

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-05-15 22:46 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Washington Nationals 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Washington Nationals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.12%2.27السعر العادل
EV +0.148%
الأفضلية +0.065%
Kelly +0.117%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.86%44.11%44.17%45.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.162.152.2747.62%46.33%46.51%44.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 55.88%1.79السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.615%
Kelly -1.41%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.77

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.83%55.89%55.83%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.26%58.48%56.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:43
Everygame2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 16:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:40
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:33
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.09%E -0.615%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:05
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:43
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 22:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 13:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 19:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:42
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 22:44
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 22:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 20:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:19
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%0.2%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-15 22:45
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-15 22:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-15 18:25