L’École des cotes

Washington Nationals v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 22:46 UTC

Score final : Washington Nationals 3–2 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 44.12%2.27cote équitable
EV +0.148%
Avantage +0.065%
Kelly +0.117%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.11%44.17%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.162.152.2747.62%46.33%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.88%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.615%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%55.89%55.83%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.721.711.7760.61%58.26%58.48%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV +0.148%E +0.065%K +0.117%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:45
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -1.18%E -0.525%K -0.948%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 22:43
Everygame2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.62%E -0.725%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 16:29
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.50%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:40
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-15 22:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-14 23:45
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:40
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.79%E -4.72%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:33
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.09%E -0.615%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 22:05
MyBookie.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:43
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.38%E -1.54%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 22:45
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 13:25
Caesars2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-14 19:35
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.82%E -1.75%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 22:42
Bovada2.16I 46.30%NM 44.33%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.67%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-15 22:44
NordicBet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Betsson2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.70%E -2.18%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 22:40
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -1.65%E -0.936%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-15 22:05
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 17:21
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.88%E -2.26%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:20
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-14 17:30
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.56%E -3.29%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 22:44
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 20:19
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.15%E -2.39%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.21%E -1.26%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 22:05
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.59%E -2.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.44%E -2.60%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Bally Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.47%E -3.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:05
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:19
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.32%E -1.92%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 22:05
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.00%E -2.94%K -7.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:45
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.12%E -3.64%K -9.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:40
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.35%E -3.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.68%E -4.00%K -9.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 22:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%0.2%2026-05-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-05-15 22:40
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-15 22:45
BetOpenly2.25I 44.44%NM 43.89%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.11%1.3%2026-05-15 22:44
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-05-15 22:45
Novig2.23I 44.84%NM 44.11%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.89%1.7%2026-05-15 22:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%1.9%2026-05-15 22:45
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-05-15 18:25