Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-02 17:06 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prediction 41.44%2.41fair odd
EV +0.696%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.487%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.44%41.45%41.33%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visit)

Prediction 58.56%1.71fair odd
EV +0.725%
Edge +0.422%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%58.55%58.67%59.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.631.631.7263.29%61.25%61.35%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Nationals (Local): 41.44%; Atlanta Braves (Visit): 58.56%. For Atlanta Braves (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.72, producing a positive expected value of +0.725%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.98%E -6.18%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.725%E +0.422%K +1.01%G +0.007%5.8%2026-09-02 04:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 03:10
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 02:45
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.696%E +0.287%K +0.487%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-02 01:29
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.38%E -0.578%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 04:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 20:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:20
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 04:49
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:29
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 03:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:05
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:19
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 04:45
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 02:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:25
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:18
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-09-02 04:44
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-09-02 04:50
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 04:45
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-09-02 04:35
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-02 00:35
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.6%2026-09-02 04:50
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-09-02 03:10
Arbitrage (1 combination) +0.71%Caesars 2.43 (41.4%) / Dabble (AU) 1.72 (58.6%)Show details
Washington Nationals (Local)Atlanta Braves (Visit)Margin
Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.4%)Dabble (AU)🎯 1.72 (58.6%)+0.713%