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Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-02 17:06 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Predicción 41.44%2.41momio equitativo
EV +0.696%
Ventaja +0.287%
Kelly +0.487%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.44%41.45%41.33%45.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Predicción 58.56%1.71momio equitativo
EV +0.725%
Ventaja +0.422%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.97%58.55%58.67%59.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.581.631.631.7263.29%61.25%61.35%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Washington Nationals (Local): 41.44%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 58.56%. Para Atlanta Braves (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.71. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.72, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.725%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.98%E -6.18%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.725%E +0.422%K +1.01%G +0.007%5.8%2026-09-02 04:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 03:10
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 02:45
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.696%E +0.287%K +0.487%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-02 01:29
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.38%E -0.578%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 04:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 20:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:20
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 04:49
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:29
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 03:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:05
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:19
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 04:45
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 02:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:25
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:18
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-09-02 04:44
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 04:45
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-09-02 04:35
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-02 00:35
ProphetX◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-09-02 05:00
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-02 04:55
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-09-02 03:10
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.71%Caesars 2.43 (41.4%) / Dabble (AU) 1.72 (58.6%)Ver detalles
Washington Nationals (Local)Atlanta Braves (Visitante)Margen
Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.4%)Dabble (AU)🎯 1.72 (58.6%)+0.713%