Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

Início: 2026-09-02 17:05 UTC

Final: Washington Nationals 0–9 Atlanta Braves

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Previsão 43.90%2.28odd justa
EV -0.338%
Vantagem -0.149%
Kelly -0.266%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.11%43.77%43.93%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.182.192.2748.31%45.97%45.77%44.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Braves (Visitante)

Previsão 56.10%1.78odd justa
EV -0.710%
Vantagem -0.401%
Kelly -0.922%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.55%56.23%56.07%57.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.701.701.7762.50%58.83%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Nationals (Local): 43.90%; Atlanta Braves (Visitante): 56.10%. Para Washington Nationals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.28. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.27, com valor esperado de -0.338%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -0.338%E -0.149%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-02 17:05
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.22%E -0.541%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 14:03
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.22%E -0.541%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 14:30
theScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.09%E -0.939%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-02 13:44
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -2.53%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -1.27%E -0.722%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-02 16:55
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.53%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-02 16:55
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.97%E -1.35%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.27%E -0.722%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 16:50
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.710%E -0.401%K -0.922%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-02 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.27%E -0.722%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -1.27%E -0.722%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 17:05
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 17:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 16:00
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 17:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-02 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:05
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.44%E -4.51%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 16:53
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -8.00%E -4.88%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.12%E -5.63%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.41%E -1.55%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.25%E -6.40%K -17.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 17:05
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.85%E -1.76%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 17:04
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 16:40
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-02 17:00
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.29%E -1.97%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.73%E -2.18%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.39%E -1.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-02 16:49
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -5.17%E -2.39%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -6.88%E -4.14%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 17:05
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-02 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:05
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 17:04
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 17:00
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-02 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.64%E -2.73%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.08%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 17:04
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 15:59
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.61%E -2.61%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.32%E -3.78%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.05%E -2.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.08%E -2.38%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:00
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.92%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.51%E -2.04%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 17:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%EV -6.92%E -3.27%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%EV -8.56%E -5.25%K -13.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.83%E -1.05%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:00
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.80%E -3.72%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.95%E -1.71%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 17:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -9.12%E -4.41%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -5.76%E -3.43%K -8.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-02 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-09-02 17:00
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-09-02 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-09-02 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%0.8%2026-09-02 17:00
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-09-02 17:05
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%1.1%2026-09-02 17:05
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-09-02 14:30
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-09-02 17:00
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.5%2026-09-02 16:45
BetOpenly◎2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%4.1%2026-09-02 17:00