Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals v Atlanta Braves

2026-09-02 17:06 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Washington Nationals (Local)

Prévision 41.44%2.41cote équitable
EV +0.696%
Avantage +0.287%
Kelly +0.487%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.44%41.45%41.33%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.42%43.48%41.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.56%1.71cote équitable
EV +0.725%
Avantage +0.422%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%58.55%58.67%59.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.581.631.631.7263.29%61.25%61.35%58.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Washington Nationals (Local) : 41.44% ; Atlanta Braves (Visiteur) : 58.56%. Pour Atlanta Braves (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.71. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 1.72, pour une espérance positive de +0.725%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -12.98%E -6.18%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +0.725%E +0.422%K +1.01%G +0.007%5.8%2026-09-02 04:50
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -1.62%E -0.963%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 03:10
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-02 02:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.20%E -0.934%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-02 02:50
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-02 03:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-01 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.20%E -1.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 02:45
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.44%EV +0.696%E +0.287%K +0.487%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.56%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-02 01:29
Everygame🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -1.38%E -0.578%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-02 04:54
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 17:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 19:25
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 20:55
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 01:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.37%E -2.04%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 04:20
BetAnything🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.10%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-02 04:49
Bovada🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.28%E -1.85%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 04:29
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.96%E -2.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 03:38
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:05
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.52%E -2.42%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
NordicBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:19
Betsson🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.93%E -2.61%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.55%E -2.79%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:50
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.03%E -1.30%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-02 04:45
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 04:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:19
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 17:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 04:40
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 02:15
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 03:00
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.13%E -3.17%K -8.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.79%E -0.755%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 01:55
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.62%E -1.11%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-02 04:25
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-02 01:18
Betclic (FR)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.10%E -2.23%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.72%E -3.55%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-02 01:20
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:20
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.69%E -2.04%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.30%E -3.94%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 01:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.76%E -3.01%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 01:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.83%E -4.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -7.47%E -4.73%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 01:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-09-02 04:44
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-02 04:45
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-09-02 04:35
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-02 00:35
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-09-02 05:00
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 40.89%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.11%1.9%2026-09-02 04:55
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%9.1%2026-09-02 03:10
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.71%Caesars 2.43 (41.4%) / Dabble (AU) 1.72 (58.6%)Afficher les détails
Washington Nationals (Local)Atlanta Braves (Visiteur)Marge
Caesars🎯 2.43 (41.4%)Dabble (AU)🎯 1.72 (58.6%)+0.713%