The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 63.34%1.58fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.37%63.38%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.36%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 36.66%2.73fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.373%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.63%36.62%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.612.602.7040.16%38.34%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 63.34%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 36.66%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.01%E -0.373%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.1%2026-07-31 21:44
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.01%E -0.373%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 21:54
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 17:04
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-31 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.74%E -0.649%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.11%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 22:59
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 20:33
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 16:04
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:29
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:30
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:40
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.77%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:34
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.77%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.14%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 15:34
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:29
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.71%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 22:53
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-31 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-31 22:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 19:55
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 15:35
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 23:04
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-31 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%2.3%2026-07-31 23:04

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.