Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-07-31 23:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%60.72%60.60%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.561.6266.67%63.84%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 39.45%2.53fair odd
EV +1.79%
Edge +0.695%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.28%39.40%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.422.422.5844.44%41.28%41.32%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -7.37%E -4.81%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +1.79%E +0.695%K +1.14%G +0.020%4.1%2026-07-30 19:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.610%E +0.239%K +0.394%G +0.002%5.9%2026-07-30 18:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV +0.216%E +0.085%K +0.140%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 18:59
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -0.179%E -0.071%K -0.117%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 19:35
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 18:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 20:00
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 19:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 20:00
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 20:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.81%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 19:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.81%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 19:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.37%E -4.81%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 19:45
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -4.12%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 19:59
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.60%EV -4.34%E -2.75%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.40%EV -4.12%E -1.70%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 20:00
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-30 19:24
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:45
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.52%E -1.87%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:45
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -4.91%E -2.04%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 19:58
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 19:59
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 19:00
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 20:05
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 20:05
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.16%E -3.97%K -11.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 19:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 20:05
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.92%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:20
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.37%E -4.81%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.28%E -3.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 20:00
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.58%E -5.68%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.25%E -4.02%K -7.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 19:59
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-30 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-07-30 20:15
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-07-30 20:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.6%2026-07-30 20:25
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%9.7%2026-07-30 20:00