Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-31 23:08 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 3–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 63.34%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.767%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%63.37%63.38%64.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.511.5669.44%66.36%66.23%64.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.66%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.373%
Kelly -0.592%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.47%36.63%36.62%37.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.492.612.602.7040.16%38.34%38.46%37.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 63.34% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 36.66%. Pour St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.73. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.70, pour une espérance de -1.01% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%EV -1.01%E -0.373%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.1%2026-07-31 21:44
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%EV -1.20%E -0.767%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%EV -3.21%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -1.01%E -0.373%K -0.592%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.59%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 21:54
Everygame🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 17:04
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.46%E -1.60%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-31 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%EV -1.37%E -0.510%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 22:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -1.74%E -0.649%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-31 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -2.11%E -0.789%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-31 22:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 15:34
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.10%E -2.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-31 22:54
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 22:59
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 20:33
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.73%E -2.45%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 16:04
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:55
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 22:29
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:30
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.35%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.65%EV -4.31%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:45
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 18:40
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.77%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:34
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.77%E -2.25%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -6.14%E -2.40%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 15:34
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.36%E -2.89%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:49
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.84%E -1.07%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-31 22:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.57%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 16:29
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 22:54
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 21:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 16:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.00%E -3.33%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:29
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.63%E -3.78%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.51%E -2.55%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.90%E -4.69%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -8.71%E -3.50%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 22:53
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -8.16%E -5.63%K -18.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.67%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 22:54
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-31 20:40
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.80%E -6.11%K -19.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.34%E -3.34%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-31 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-07-31 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-07-31 23:05
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-07-31 22:55
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 19:55
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 15:35
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-31 23:04
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.8%2026-07-31 22:55
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%2.3%2026-07-31 23:04