Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-01 19:08 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 55.83%1.79fair odd
EV -0.059%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.97%55.70%57.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.711.711.7960.98%58.59%58.48%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV +1.58%
Edge +0.689%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.50%44.03%44.30%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.152.3050.00%46.17%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.83%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 44.17%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +1.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +1.58%E +0.689%K +1.22%G +0.019%2.3%2026-07-31 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +1.14%E +0.499%K +0.886%G +0.010%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +1.14%E +0.499%K +0.886%G +0.010%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.624%E -0.277%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:54
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.624%E -0.277%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.624%E -0.277%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.624%E -0.277%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.95%E -0.878%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:18
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -1.95%E -0.878%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 18:19
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.18%E -0.664%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 18:19
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.20%E -3.69%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.83%E -1.29%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:19
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -0.059%E -0.033%K -0.075%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.16%E -1.92%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 17:00
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.60%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 18:54
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.60%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 18:18
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.64%E -3.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.60%E -2.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 18:19
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 19:15
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:50
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:49
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 17:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:49
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.08%E -2.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.76%E -4.05%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.04%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:49
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -5.48%E -2.56%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -6.81%E -3.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 18:55
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.85%E -1.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 16:50
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:48
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:48
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.41%E -1.97%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 17:19
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.97%E -2.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 16:54
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.25%E -3.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.41%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.74%EV -9.46%E -4.61%K -9.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 19:09
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -8.43%E -5.14%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -11.67%E -5.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-31 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-31 16:45
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 16:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-07-31 18:55
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 55.04%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%10.1%2026-07-31 19:15
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.66%1xBet 1.79 (56.2%) / GTbets 2.30 (43.8%)Show all 4 combinations
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)Margin
1xBet 1.79 (56.2%)GTbets 2.30 (43.8%)+0.660%
1xBet 1.79 (56.1%)BetOnline.ag 2.29 (43.9%)+0.468%
1xBet 1.79 (56.1%)LowVig.ag 2.29 (43.9%)+0.468%
FanDuel 1.77 (56.5%)GTbets 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%