Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 19:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 5–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 61.06%1.64fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.217%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.19%61.24%60.95%63.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.581.581.6468.97%63.46%63.29%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 38.94%2.57fair odd
EV -0.704%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.454%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.25%38.76%39.05%40.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.432.402.5544.44%41.22%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 61.06%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 38.94%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.638. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.640, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.139%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV +0.139%E +0.085%K +0.217%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -5.38%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 17:22
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-01 18:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:05
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.09%E -0.430%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:05
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.48%E -0.586%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.87%E -0.743%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.26%E -0.901%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 19:00
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.04%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 18:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 17:59
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:34
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.09%E -0.430%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.48%E -0.586%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.38%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.43%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:59
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 19:05
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.10%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.46%E -7.91%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 18:57
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.46%E -7.91%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-01 19:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-01 19:05
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 16:45
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-01 19:03
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-01 19:00
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-01 19:05

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