Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-01 19:08 UTC — MLB

Testa a testa

37 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays (Casa)

Previsione 56.40%1.77quota equa
EV -0.170%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.220%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.77

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.97%56.47%56.28%57.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.691.681.7760.98%59.19%59.52%56.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.60%2.29quota equa
EV +0.277%
Vantaggio +0.120%
Kelly +0.213%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.50%43.53%43.72%45.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.62%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Toronto Blue Jays (Casa): 56.40%; St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta): 43.60%. Per St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.29. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 2.30, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.277%.

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.277%E +0.120%K +0.213%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-31 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.159%E -0.070%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.159%E -0.070%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.03%E -0.454%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:54
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:18
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:08
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.170%E -0.096%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 18:19
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 20:04
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:19
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 20:05
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:19
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 20:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 20:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:49
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:04
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 16:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-31 16:45
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 16:50
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-31 20:20
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-07-31 20:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%10.5%2026-07-31 19:40
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.02%FanDuel 1.77 (56.5%) / GTbets 2.30 (43.5%)Mostra dettagli
Toronto Blue Jays (Casa)St. Louis Cardinals (Trasferta)Margine
FanDuel 1.77 (56.5%)GTbets 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%