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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-01 19:08 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

37 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Blue Jays (主队)

预测 56.40%1.77公平赔率
EV -0.170%
优势 -0.096%
Kelly -0.220%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布
54.97%56.47%56.28%57.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.691.681.7760.98%59.19%59.52%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

St. Louis Cardinals (客队)

预测 43.60%2.29公平赔率
EV +0.277%
优势 +0.120%
Kelly +0.213%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
42.50%43.53%43.72%45.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.192.202.3047.62%45.62%45.45%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Toronto Blue Jays (主队)：56.40%；St. Louis Cardinals (客队)：43.60%。 对于“St. Louis Cardinals (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.29。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.30，由此产生+0.277%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV +0.277%E +0.120%K +0.213%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-31 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.159%E -0.070%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -0.159%E -0.070%K -0.123%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-31 18:19
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -1.03%E -0.454%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 18:54
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -1.90%E -0.846%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:19
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.21%E -1.45%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 18:18
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -3.65%E -1.65%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 20:08
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -0.170%E -0.096%K -0.220%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 18:19
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 20:04
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:19
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 20:05
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 18:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:05
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:04
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.08%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 20:19
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:19
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:05
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 20:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.96%E -2.27%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 20:19
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 20:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.12%E -2.42%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 17:49
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.68%E -2.77%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:19
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.25%E -3.12%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 20:04
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 16:49
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:04
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.81%E -3.48%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.26%E -2.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 20:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.99%E -1.74%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 16:45
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.55%E -2.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 20:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:19
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.50%E -4.57%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.44%E -4.02%K -7.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-31 20:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-07-31 16:45
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-07-31 16:50
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-07-31 20:20
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%9.9%2026-07-31 20:20
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%10.5%2026-07-31 19:40
套利（1 种组合） +0.02%FanDuel 1.77 (56.5%) / GTbets 2.30 (43.5%)显示详情
Toronto Blue Jays (主队)St. Louis Cardinals (客队)利润率
FanDuel 1.77 (56.5%)GTbets 2.30 (43.5%)+0.025%