Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-01 19:08 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 5–1 St. Louis Cardinals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 61.06%1.64cote équitable
EV +0.139%
Avantage +0.085%
Kelly +0.217%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.19%61.24%60.95%63.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.581.581.6468.97%63.46%63.29%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.94%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.704%
Avantage -0.276%
Kelly -0.454%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.25%38.76%39.05%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.432.402.5544.44%41.22%41.67%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 61.06% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 38.94%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.638. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.640, soit une espérance positive de +0.139%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV +0.139%E +0.085%K +0.217%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -5.38%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 17:22
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 17:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 61.30%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.70%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.3%2026-08-01 18:55
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 19:05
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 17:35
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%EV -1.09%E -0.430%K -0.710%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-01 19:05
Everygame🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -1.48%E -0.586%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-01 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%EV -1.87%E -0.743%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-01 19:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 61.07%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.93%EV -2.26%E -0.901%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 19:00
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.88%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.12%EV -3.04%E -1.22%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-01 18:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 18:55
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 17:59
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 19:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -9.27%E -3.98%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:34
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.09%E -0.430%K -0.710%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.41%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.59%EV -1.48%E -0.586%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:54
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.38%E -2.21%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 17:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:54
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.52%E -2.23%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-01 19:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.43%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-01 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:49
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-01 18:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:54
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:05
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -3.82%E -1.55%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:59
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.48%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.77%E -2.38%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -4.21%E -1.71%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:04
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 19:05
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 19:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 19:05
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 18:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%EV -8.10%E -3.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:05
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 19:03
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.46%E -7.91%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 18:57
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -11.46%E -7.91%K -25.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -0.704%E -0.276%K -0.454%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 19:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-01 19:05
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-08-01 19:05
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-01 16:45
Novig◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-08-01 19:03
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-08-01 19:00
BetOpenly◎1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%2.5%2026-08-01 19:05
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.65%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.35%2.7%2026-08-01 19:05