Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-02 17:38 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 51.83%1.93fair odd
EV -0.477%
Edge -0.248%
Kelly -0.518%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.76%51.70%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.851.9256.18%54.03%54.05%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 48.17%2.08fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%48.24%48.30%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.971.972.0552.91%50.79%50.76%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 51.83%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 48.17%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.92, with an expected value of -0.477%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.477%E -0.248%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:05
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 19:30
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 18:39
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.797%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:12
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.26%E -0.615%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.26%E -0.615%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.74%E -0.855%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:20
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.74%E -0.855%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:19
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 22:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:20
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:04
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -3.59%E -1.93%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:29
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:19
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:29
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:59
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:14
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.62%E -2.51%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.62%E -2.51%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:18
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:58
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:52
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:19
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.73%E -4.34%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.73%E -4.34%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-01 18:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 21:35
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-08-01 21:55