Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-02 17:38 UTC — MLB

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 51.83%1.93odd justa
EV -0.995%
Vantagem -0.521%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.78%51.70%52.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.851.851.9156.18%54.20%54.05%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 48.17%2.08odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.12%48.22%48.30%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.891.971.972.0552.91%50.71%50.76%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 51.83%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 48.17%. Para Toronto Blue Jays (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.91, com valor esperado de -0.995%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.19%E -1.59%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:43
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.995%E -0.521%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 19:30
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.797%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:12
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.26%E -0.615%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.26%E -0.615%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.74%E -0.855%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:20
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.74%E -0.855%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:19
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 22:45
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:20
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:10
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:19
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:29
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:14
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:45
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.62%E -2.51%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.62%E -2.51%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.60%E -2.86%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:18
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:10
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:10
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:58
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:52
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.11%E -2.60%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 21:25
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.73%E -4.34%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.73%E -4.34%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.47%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.73%E -4.34%K -9.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.97%E -4.75%K -10.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-01 18:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 21:35
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-08-01 21:55