Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v St. Louis Cardinals

2026-08-02 17:38 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 51.85%1.93cote équitable
EV -0.971%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -1.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.79%51.71%52.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.781.851.851.9156.18%54.20%54.05%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.15%2.08cote équitable
EV -1.29%
Avantage -0.628%
Kelly -1.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.12%48.21%48.29%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.891.971.972.0552.91%50.69%50.76%48.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 51.85% ; St. Louis Cardinals (Visiteur) : 48.15%. Pour Toronto Blue Jays (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 1.93. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 1.91, pour une espérance de -0.971% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.971%E -0.508%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-01 22:43
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.971%E -0.508%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.971%E -0.508%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-01 19:30
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.49%E -0.784%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.48%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:12
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.29%E -0.628%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:19
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.29%E -0.628%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-01 21:25
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.77%E -0.867%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:20
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -1.77%E -0.867%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-01 21:19
TAB1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 22:45
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 18:20
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.05%E -1.63%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:04
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:14
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 23:15
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.66%E -2.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:19
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.66%E -2.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:29
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:10
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:14
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 23:15
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.62%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.62%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:30
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.62%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:29
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:14
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:45
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 22:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.08%E -2.21%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 21:19
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.60%E -2.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:54
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.60%E -2.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.62%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 21:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:54
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:20
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:00
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 21:18
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.66%E -2.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.66%E -2.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 21:28
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:10
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 23:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.62%E -2.87%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 23:14
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:55
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:58
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:52
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.12%E -2.80%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.10%E -3.13%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.73%E -1.35%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 22:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.70%E -1.85%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 22:39
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.67%E -3.71%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.14%E -2.61%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 21:25
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%EV -7.71%E -4.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -8.03%E -4.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.71%E -4.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -8.51%E -4.48%K -9.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -7.71%E -4.33%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -8.99%E -4.76%K -10.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-01 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-01 18:15
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 20:50
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-01 21:35
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%10.0%2026-08-01 21:55