Language:English
Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Toronto Blue Jays (Local)
Prediction 55.07%1.82fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.09%55.14%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.721.7961.73%57.90%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 44.93%2.23fair odd
EV +3.34%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.086%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%44.91%44.86%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.63%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.07%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 44.93%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +3.34%E +1.45%K +2.57%G +0.086% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.09%E +0.485%K +0.873%G +0.010% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.192%E +0.086%K +0.156%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.706%E -0.320%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-11 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-11 23:03 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-11 22:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 20:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-11 22:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 17:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-11 22:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 22:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 22:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-11 20:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.15%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 22:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-11 22:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-11 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 1.0% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-08-11 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67% | 2.7% | 2026-08-11 23:05 |