Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

Inizio: 2026-08-11 23:08 UTC

Finale: Toronto Blue Jays 5–3 Boston Red Sox

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

55%

45%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Toronto Blue Jays (Casa)

Previsione 55.07%1.82quota equa

EV -1.42%

Vantaggio -0.795%

Kelly -1.80%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

53.66%55.09%55.14%58.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.621.731.721.7961.73%57.90%58.14%55.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.93%2.23quota equa

EV +3.34%

Vantaggio +1.45%

Kelly +2.57%

Crescita +0.086%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

41.33%44.91%44.86%46.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.63%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Toronto Blue Jays (Casa): 55.07%; Boston Red Sox (Trasferta): 44.93%. Per Boston Red Sox (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.23. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.34%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta ▼	Margine	Aggiornamento
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +3.34%E +1.45%K +2.57%G +0.086%	5.2%	2026-08-11 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.09%E +0.485%K +0.873%G +0.010%	1.9%	2026-08-11 22:25
BetRivers🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.192%E +0.086%K +0.156%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-11 23:04
1xBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.706%E -0.320%K -0.584%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-11 21:44
DraftKings🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%	1.6%	2026-08-11 22:24
FanDuel🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-11 22:55
BetUS🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-11 23:04
Bally Bet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-11 23:03
GTbets🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-08-11 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-08-11 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 23:04
Casumo🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 23:04
betPARX🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-11 23:05
Caesars🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-11 22:24
Pinnacle🎯	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-11 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-11 22:59
BetAnything🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-08-11 23:05
TABtouch🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-11 23:05
TAB🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-11 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 20:44
ReBet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 22:24
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 22:50
Betway🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-11 22:54
Coolbet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 22:55
888sport🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 22:24
Bet Right🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-11 22:24
Betr (AU)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 17:04
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-11 23:04
SportsBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-11 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-11 21:39
LeoVegas🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 22:54
Fanatics🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-08-11 22:55
Bovada🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-08-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-11 23:00
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-11 23:00
BetMGM🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-11 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-11 20:59
Grosvenor🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-11 23:04
PlayUp🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-11 22:59
Betsson🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 23:04
NordicBet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 22:59
Neds🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 23:04
betano_uk🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 22:53
Bet Victor🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-11 22:53
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-11 23:04

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎	1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%	2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%	0.5%	2026-08-11 23:05
Novig◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	0.6%	2026-08-11 23:05
BetOpenly◎	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%	2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%	0.7%	2026-08-11 23:05
Polymarket◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-08-11 20:15
Matchbook◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%	2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%	1.0%	2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.3%	2026-08-11 23:05
Kalshi◎	1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%	2.2%	2026-08-11 20:25
Smarkets◎	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%	2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%	2.7%	2026-08-11 23:05