默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 23:08 UTC

最终结果: Toronto Blue Jays 5–3 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Toronto Blue Jays (主队)

预测 55.07%1.82公平赔率
EV -1.42%
优势 -0.795%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.79

博彩公司预测分布
53.66%55.09%55.14%58.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.731.721.7961.73%57.90%58.14%55.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 44.93%2.23公平赔率
EV +3.34%
优势 +1.45%
Kelly +2.57%
增长率 +0.086%

假设最高赔率为 2.30

博彩公司预测分布
41.33%44.91%44.86%46.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.63%46.51%43.48%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Toronto Blue Jays (主队):55.07%;Boston Red Sox (客队):44.93%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.23。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.30,对应+3.34%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +3.34%E +1.45%K +2.57%G +0.086%5.2%2026-08-11 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.09%E +0.485%K +0.873%G +0.010%1.9%2026-08-11 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.192%E +0.086%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:04
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.706%E -0.320%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-11 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 22:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:03
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:05
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 20:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:50
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:55
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:59
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:59
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 22:53
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 22:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-08-11 23:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-11 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-11 23:05
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 20:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-11 20:25
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-11 23:05