Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-11 23:08 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 5–3 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 55.07%1.82odd justa
EV -1.42%
Vantagem -0.795%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.09%55.14%58.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.621.731.721.7961.73%57.90%58.14%55.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 44.93%2.23odd justa
EV +3.34%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +2.57%
Crescimento +0.086%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%44.91%44.86%46.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.3048.78%46.63%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 55.07%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 44.93%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.23. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -10.79%E -6.66%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +3.34%E +1.45%K +2.57%G +0.086%5.2%2026-08-11 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV +1.09%E +0.485%K +0.873%G +0.010%1.9%2026-08-11 22:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV +0.192%E +0.086%K +0.156%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-11 23:04
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.706%E -0.320%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 21:44
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-11 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-11 22:55
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.16%E -0.525%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 23:03
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%EV -1.60%E -0.733%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-11 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.61%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.39%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-11 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.05%E -0.942%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:05
Caesars🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 22:24
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -1.42%E -0.795%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-11 22:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-11 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-11 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -7.48%E -4.45%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -2.50%E -1.15%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-11 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 20:44
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:24
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:50
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-11 22:54
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:55
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:24
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.03%E -4.81%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.40%E -1.58%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 23:04
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.85%E -1.80%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 21:39
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.75%E -2.24%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:54
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 22:55
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.18%E -2.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 22:58
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.28%E -3.07%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 22:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.83%E -3.41%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 22:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 20:59
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.68%E -5.90%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -5.65%E -2.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-11 23:04
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.63%E -2.07%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.55%E -3.15%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 22:59
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:04
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.08%E -1.75%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.00%E -3.38%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 22:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.52%E -1.43%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 23:04
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 22:53
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.38%E -3.75%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 22:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.93%E -4.10%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.90%E -3.85%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-11 23:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.98%2.21I 45.25%NM 45.02%0.5%2026-08-11 23:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-08-11 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-08-11 23:05
Polymarket◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-08-11 20:15
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-08-11 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-08-11 23:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-08-11 20:25
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%2.7%2026-08-11 23:05