The School of Odds
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Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-12 23:07 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prediction 46.39%2.16fair odd
EV -0.263%
Edge -0.122%
Kelly -0.229%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%46.34%46.44%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.062.052.1551.02%48.60%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 53.61%1.87fair odd
EV -0.820%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%53.66%53.56%54.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.791.8558.14%56.18%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 46.39%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 53.61%. For Toronto Blue Jays (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.15, with an expected value of -0.263%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.263%E -0.122%K -0.229%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 18:19
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.263%E -0.122%K -0.229%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.263%E -0.122%K -0.229%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-11 20:54
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -0.727%E -0.340%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 01:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.19%E -0.559%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.19%E -0.559%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-11 18:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.58%E -1.23%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 02:24
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.05%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.820%E -0.443%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 00:44
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -3.05%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -1.89%E -1.03%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:44
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.51%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.51%E -1.69%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 02:13
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:40
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.44%E -2.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 02:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:04
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:05
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 01:04
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 01:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 02:14
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:19
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:05
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.11%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 18:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 19:00
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.90%E -2.39%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.18%E -3.53%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:54
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.37%E -2.63%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.83%E -2.87%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 01:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 01:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.50%E -1.94%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 00:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.29%E -3.12%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.22%E -3.61%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 01:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -8.15%E -4.12%K -8.32%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 01:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -8.61%E -4.37%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-12 01:04
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.08%E -4.63%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.79%E -4.53%K -10.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.77%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.23%-0.1%2026-08-12 02:15
ProphetX◎2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%0.1%2026-08-12 02:25
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-12 01:55
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-11 21:40
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-08-12 01:54
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%5.5%2026-08-12 02:10
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 46.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.64%8.4%2026-08-12 02:20

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