Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

Início: 2026-08-12 23:07 UTC

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Previsão 44.80%2.23odd justa
EV -0.536%
Vantagem -0.241%
Kelly -0.439%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.00%44.87%44.73%46.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.19%47.17%45.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Previsão 55.20%1.81odd justa
EV +1.01%
Vantagem +0.551%
Kelly +1.22%
Crescimento +0.012%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.52%55.13%55.27%56.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.741.741.8360.61%57.43%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 44.80%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 55.20%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.83, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +1.01%E +0.551%K +1.22%G +0.012%1.8%2026-08-12 17:39
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.20%E -0.670%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 20:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.20%E -0.670%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 20:44
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:19
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 20:19
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:38
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.536%E -0.241%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:54
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:44
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 20:44
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:49
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:00
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 22:59
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:44
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:49
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:58
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:54
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 22:49
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 20:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 23:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-08-12 23:04
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-08-12 23:05
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-12 23:05
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 22:25
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:00
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-12 22:30
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-08-12 23:00