Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-12 23:07 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Predicción 46.56%2.15momio equitativo
EV -2.23%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.69%46.51%46.56%47.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.052.052.1051.02%48.80%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 53.44%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.612%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.88%53.49%53.44%54.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.781.791.8558.14%56.06%55.87%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Toronto Blue Jays (Local): 46.56%; Boston Red Sox (Visitante): 53.44%. Para Boston Red Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.87. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.85, con un valor esperado de -1.13%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 02:49
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 03:19
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-11 19:14
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.23%E -1.06%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 02:24
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -1.13%E -0.612%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 00:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 02:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 02:49
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 00:44
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.69%E -1.29%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.20%E -1.20%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-12 02:50
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.16%E -1.52%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-11 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 03:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 00:40
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.62%E -1.75%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-11 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-11 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 03:04
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 02:04
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 03:00
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:40
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-12 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 02:59
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 03:05
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 03:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 02:50
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 03:09
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.94%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 18:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.56%E -2.22%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.02%E -2.46%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 00:39
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:35
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.80%E -2.11%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 02:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.34%E -2.42%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 00:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 03:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.94%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.95%E -2.95%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.94%E -3.38%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-12 00:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.87%E -2.74%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 03:00
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.41%E -3.06%K -7.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 03:00
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 02:59
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.88%E -3.44%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.48%E -3.70%K -8.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 02:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -7.81%E -3.95%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 02:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.75%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 02:59
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.75%E -4.46%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.08%E -4.70%K -11.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-12 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-08-12 03:10
ProphetX2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-12 02:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-12 01:55
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-11 21:40
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.21%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.79%1.6%2026-08-12 03:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%5.2%2026-08-12 03:20
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%8.1%2026-08-12 03:20

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