Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays v Boston Red Sox

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-12 23:07 UTC

Score final : Toronto Blue Jays 6–4 Boston Red Sox

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Toronto Blue Jays (Local)

Prévision 44.80%2.23cote équitable
EV -0.536%
Avantage -0.241%
Kelly -0.439%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.00%44.87%44.73%46.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.19%47.17%45.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.20%1.81cote équitable
EV +1.01%
Avantage +0.551%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.52%55.13%55.27%56.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.741.741.8360.61%57.43%57.47%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Toronto Blue Jays (Local) : 44.80% ; Boston Red Sox (Visiteur) : 55.20%. Pour Boston Red Sox (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.81. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.83, soit une espérance positive de +1.01%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +1.01%E +0.551%K +1.22%G +0.012%1.8%2026-08-12 17:39
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.20%E -0.670%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 20:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -1.20%E -0.670%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 20:44
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.6%2026-08-12 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-12 23:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -1.75%E -0.984%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 21:19
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 19:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 20:19
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.33%E -1.07%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-12 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-12 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.30%E -1.30%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 17:38
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.536%E -0.241%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-12 19:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-12 19:54
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:44
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -2.85%E -1.62%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 20:45
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-12 19:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 22:54
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.81%E -3.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.41%E -1.95%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-12 20:44
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.43%E -0.651%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-12 22:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 19:50
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 20:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 22:49
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.12%E -1.93%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.96%E -2.28%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 23:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 22:59
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 23:00
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 22:59
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.51%E -2.61%K -6.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-12 20:44
SportsBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -4.57%E -2.14%K -4.04%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 23:00
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:49
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:49
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.06%E -2.94%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 22:50
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 22:58
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 19:54
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-12 22:49
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.17%E -3.63%K -8.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 20:45
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.72%E -3.98%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 22:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.93%E -5.41%K -13.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-12 23:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly◎2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80%1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20%0.1%2026-08-12 23:04
ProphetX◎2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-08-12 23:05
Novig◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-08-12 23:05
Polymarket◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 22:25
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-12 23:00
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-12 22:30
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%3.0%2026-08-12 23:00