Language:English
Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 50.94%1.96fair odd
EV +0.345%
Edge +0.175%
Kelly +0.355%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.92%51.05%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.27%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 49.06%2.04fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%49.08%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.921.921.9954.05%52.04%52.08%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 50.94%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 49.06%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.345%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.18%E -0.610%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 06:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 21:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.81%E -4.31%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 13:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
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