La scuola delle quote

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-07-11 20:36 UTC

Finale: Tampa Bay Rays 6–1 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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48 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Casa)

Previsione 50.94%1.96quota equa
EV +0.345%
Vantaggio +0.175%
Kelly +0.355%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.49%50.92%51.05%52.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.27%53.48%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.06%2.04quota equa
EV -2.36%
Vantaggio -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.99

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.75%49.08%48.95%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.921.921.9954.05%52.04%52.08%50.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:12
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:12
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:14
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.18%E -0.610%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 14:19
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:59
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:14
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:14
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:25
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:34
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 06:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:19
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:48
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:24
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 18:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 20:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 20:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:14
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.81%E -4.31%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 13:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 20:12
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 18:55
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 17:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 20:30
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-07-11 20:30
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%6.2%2026-07-11 20:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%7.9%2026-07-11 20:30