La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Predicción 50.94%1.96momio equitativo
EV +0.345%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.355%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.49%50.92%51.05%52.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.27%53.48%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Seattle Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 49.06%2.04momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.75%49.08%48.95%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.921.921.9954.05%52.04%52.08%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
| GTbets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetUS | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.18%E -0.610%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Everygame | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| TAB | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 19:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-10 23:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Neds | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-11 19:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 06:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 14:19 |
| Caesars | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-10 21:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-11 20:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-11 20:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 20:09 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-11 20:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.81%E -4.31%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 13:09 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-11 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 20:12 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 18:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 17:05 |
| Novig | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79% | 7.9% | 2026-07-11 20:30 |