L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 20:36 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 6–1 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 50.94%1.96cote équitable
EV +0.345%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.355%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.49%50.92%51.05%52.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.871.9755.56%53.27%53.48%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.06%2.04cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.75%49.08%48.95%50.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.851.921.921.9954.05%52.04%52.08%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:12
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:12
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.345%E +0.175%K +0.355%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:14
BetUS1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.18%E -0.610%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 20:04
Everygame1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.36%E -1.19%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-11 14:19
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.20%E -1.15%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 20:14
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 18:59
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 19:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:14
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.71%E -1.42%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 20:14
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.22%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 20:14
DraftKings1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 20:24
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 19:25
SportsBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:59
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-11 19:34
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 20:14
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 06:19
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 14:19
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 21:48
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:24
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 20:14
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 18:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 20:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:30
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 20:24
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.84%E -1.96%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 20:09
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 20:30
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 20:09
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 20:14
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -4.82%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%EV -7.81%E -4.31%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.34%E -1.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 13:09
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 20:04
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 20:12
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-07-11 20:30
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 18:55
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 17:05
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-11 20:30
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%2.6%2026-07-11 20:30
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%6.2%2026-07-11 20:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%7.9%2026-07-11 20:30