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Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tampa Bay Rays (Local)
Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -0.725%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.993%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.58%57.31%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.671.7364.10%60.49%60.06%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV +0.147%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%42.42%42.69%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.54%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tampa Bay Rays (Local): 57.38%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 42.62%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.347. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.147%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 10:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.706%E -0.303%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 18:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-16 23:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-17 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.30%E -0.755%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-17 16:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.725%E -0.419%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.69%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-17 14:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 15:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 15:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 16:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 16:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 16:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 06:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.67%E -3.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.80%E -4.11%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 16:15 |