مدرسة الاحتمالات

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-05-17 16:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Tampa Bay Rays 6–3 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.38%1.74السعر العادل
EV -0.725%
الأفضلية -0.419%
Kelly -0.993%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.84%57.58%57.31%59.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.651.671.7364.10%60.49%60.06%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.62%2.35السعر العادل
EV +0.147%
الأفضلية +0.062%
Kelly +0.109%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.51%42.42%42.69%44.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.54%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.706%E -0.303%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 16:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:25
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 16:15
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 15:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.30%E -0.755%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 16:10
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.725%E -0.419%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.69%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:05
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:44
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 16:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 16:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:05
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.67%E -3.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 16:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.80%E -4.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 16:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-17 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-17 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-17 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-17 16:15
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%4.5%2026-05-17 16:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15