La escuela de los momios

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins

Inicio: 2026-05-17 16:16 UTC

Final: Tampa Bay Rays 6–3 Miami Marlins

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Predicción 57.38%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.419%
Kelly -0.993%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.84%57.58%57.31%59.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.671.7364.10%60.49%60.06%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Predicción 42.62%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.147%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.109%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%42.42%42.69%44.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.54%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.706%E -0.303%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 16:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:25
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 16:15
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 15:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.30%E -0.755%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 16:10
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.725%E -0.419%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.69%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:05
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:44
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 16:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 16:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:05
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.67%E -3.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 16:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.80%E -4.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 16:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-17 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-17 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-17 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-17 16:15
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%4.5%2026-05-17 16:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15