L’École des cotes

Tampa Bay Rays v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 16:16 UTC

Score final : Tampa Bay Rays 6–3 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tampa Bay Rays (Local)

Prévision 57.38%1.74cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.419%
Kelly -0.993%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%57.58%57.31%59.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.651.671.7364.10%60.49%60.06%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.62%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.147%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.51%42.42%42.69%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.252.252.3547.62%44.54%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 10:19
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.147%E +0.062%K +0.109%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.706%E -0.303%K -0.531%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:10
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 16:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.13%E -0.488%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 16:00
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 15:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:31
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 23:25
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.18%E -5.12%K -13.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 21:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.98%E -0.863%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 16:15
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.41%E -1.05%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-17 15:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -9.91%E -6.31%K -17.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-17 16:15
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.48%E -6.72%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -2.84%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -1.30%E -0.755%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -3.26%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 16:10
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -0.725%E -0.419%K -0.993%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.69%E -1.63%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 15:49
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.02%E -1.79%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:05
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:04
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 15:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 16:14
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 15:44
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 14:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.76%E -5.51%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -4.11%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 16:05
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 16:09
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.54%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 15:25
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:04
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 16:05
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-17 14:05
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.97%E -2.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 16:15
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.74%E -2.86%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 14:59
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.39%E -2.43%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 16:15
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 15:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:15
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.17%E -2.50%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 15:25
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 06:05
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.25%E -2.84%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.59%E -2.14%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.67%E -3.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 15:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.89%E -3.59%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -7.10%E -3.26%K -6.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.45%E -1.44%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 16:14
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.32%E -3.22%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 16:09
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.34%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.38%E -3.90%K -7.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.61%E -4.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.80%E -4.11%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 16:15
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -9.33%E -5.91%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.51%E -5.00%K -9.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 16:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-05-17 16:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-05-17 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-05-17 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-05-17 16:15
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-17 16:15
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-05-17 16:15
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-05-17 16:15
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%4.5%2026-05-17 16:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%4.9%2026-05-17 16:15