Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 47.70%2.10fair odd
EV +0.164%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%47.61%47.78%48.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.51%49.88%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Prediction 52.30%1.91fair odd
EV -0.102%
Edge -0.053%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.28%52.39%52.22%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.11%55.25%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 47.70%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 52.30%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.097. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.164%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 15:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-21 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 15:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-21 15:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 15:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 14:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-21 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 16:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 16:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-21 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-21 15:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 17:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.89% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 52.11% | -0.6% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51% | 0.6% | 2026-05-21 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-21 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-21 15:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-05-21 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.7% | 2026-05-21 16:10 |