La escuela de los momios

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-05-21 17:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Predicción 47.70%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.164%
Ventaja +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%47.61%47.78%48.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.51%49.88%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 52.30%1.91momio equitativo
EV -0.102%
Ventaja -0.053%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.28%52.39%52.22%54.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.11%55.25%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 15:09
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 14:50
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:59
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 15:19
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 15:09
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:00
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:10
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 16:49
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 17:00
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 15:08
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 14:49
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:09
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 17:00
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 16:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:20
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.89%1.93I 51.81%NM 52.11%-0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-05-21 16:10