Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-05-21 17:16 UTC

Final: St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Previsão 47.70%2.10odd justa
EV +0.164%
Vantagem +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.31%47.61%47.78%48.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.51%49.88%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 52.30%1.91odd justa
EV -0.102%
Vantagem -0.053%
Kelly -0.112%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.28%52.39%52.22%54.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.11%55.25%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 47.70%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 52.30%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.097. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.100, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.164%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 15:09
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Bally Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:20
BetUS🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:50
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:39
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 14:50
BetAnything🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 15:19
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 15:09
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:00
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:10
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 16:49
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 17:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 15:08
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 14:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 14:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:09
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 17:00
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 16:50
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:00
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.89%1.93I 51.81%NM 52.11%-0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-05-21 16:10