مدرسة الاحتمالات

St. Louis Cardinals v Pittsburgh Pirates

البداية: 2026-05-21 17:16 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: St. Louis Cardinals 2–6 Pittsburgh Pirates

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

St. Louis Cardinals (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.70%2.10السعر العادل
EV +0.164%
الأفضلية +0.078%
Kelly +0.149%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.31%47.61%47.78%48.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.022.002.1051.28%49.51%49.88%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (الضيف)

التنبؤ 52.30%1.91السعر العادل
EV -0.102%
الأفضلية -0.053%
Kelly -0.112%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.28%52.39%52.22%54.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.741.811.811.9157.47%55.11%55.25%52.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-21 15:09
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV +0.164%E +0.078%K +0.149%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -8.99%E -5.17%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 17:10
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -0.790%E -0.380%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:10
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -1.27%E -0.612%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 15:09
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:10
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -1.74%E -0.847%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 15:09
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:20
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-21 16:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 15:39
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.22%E -1.08%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 14:50
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:30
Everygame2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -1.67%E -0.889%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-21 16:59
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.19%E -1.17%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-21 16:20
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.70%E -1.32%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:00
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -3.76%E -2.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 15:19
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 15:09
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:00
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.65%E -1.81%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:10
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 16:49
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -4.13%E -2.05%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -0.102%E -0.053%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-21 17:00
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-21 15:08
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 14:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:09
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:10
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 15:49
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.61%E -2.30%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 14:49
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -2.72%E -1.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 15:09
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.08%E -2.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-21 17:00
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 16:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:20
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 16:00
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.29%E -2.34%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-21 15:59
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.56%E -2.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-21 15:09
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.04%E -3.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.51%E -3.32%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 15:10
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Dabble (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.24%E -1.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 16:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 15:00
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.85%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 17:09
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.99%E -3.58%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.38%E -3.56%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-21 17:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly2.10I 47.62%NM 47.89%1.93I 51.81%NM 52.11%-0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-05-21 17:10
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-05-21 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-05-21 15:50
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-21 14:50
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.7%2026-05-21 16:10