Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.94
assuming max odds 2.07
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 50.93%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 49.07%. For Chicago Cubs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.878%E -0.435%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 17:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-30 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.20%E -0.616%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.71%E -0.884%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.71%E -0.884%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-30 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-30 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -12.91%E -7.55%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-30 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 14:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 16:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 14:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 17:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 17:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-30 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.26%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-30 18:03 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 18:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-30 18:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 18:14 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 18:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 18:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21% | 2.7% | 2026-07-30 17:40 |
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