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St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-30 18:16 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prediction 51.98%1.92fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +4.44%
Growth +0.199%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.72%51.64%52.17%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.841.832.0156.82%54.34%54.64%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visit)

Prediction 48.02%2.08fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.36%47.83%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.961.982.0252.63%50.95%50.51%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV +4.49%E +2.23%K +4.44%G +0.199%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-29 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.712%E -0.373%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.712%E -0.373%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.712%E -0.373%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.712%E -0.373%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:59
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.77%E -4.61%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.77%E -4.61%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.23%E -0.648%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.77%E -4.61%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:10
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 20:10
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 20:40
MyBookie.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 52.33%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.67%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 20:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.35%E -2.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 20:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.49%E -1.73%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 20:10
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 20:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 20:15
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 20:35
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 20:35
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -5.41%E -2.74%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 20:38
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 20:35
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -8.51%E -4.83%K -11.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.81%E -4.07%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 20:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-29 20:25
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-29 20:35
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-29 20:40
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%10.1%2026-07-29 20:35
Arbitrage (13 combinations) +0.75%1xBet 2.01 (50.1%) / FanDuel 2.02 (49.9%)Show all 13 combinations
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visit)Margin
1xBet 2.01 (50.1%)MyBookie.ag 2.02 (49.9%)+0.749%
1xBet 2.01 (50.1%)FanDuel 2.02 (49.9%)+0.749%
1xBet 2.01 (50.0%)Bovada 2.01 (50.0%)+0.500%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)Unibet (UK) 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)Betway 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)PlayUp 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)SportsBet 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)Paddy Power 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)888sport 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)ReBet 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)Mr Green (SE) 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)888sport (SE) 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%
1xBet 2.01 (49.9%)William Hill 2.00 (50.1%)+0.249%