Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-30 18:16 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

St. Louis Cardinals (Local)

Prévision 52.09%1.92cote équitable
EV +1.58%
Avantage +0.809%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.98%52.12%52.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.841.831.9556.50%54.48%54.64%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.91%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.829%
Avantage -0.401%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.19%48.02%47.88%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.971.982.0752.63%50.65%50.51%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +1.58%E +0.809%K +1.66%G +0.026%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.540%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.97%E -4.72%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.540%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.97%E -4.72%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.55%E -0.819%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-29 21:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.829%E -0.401%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 21:25
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.70%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 21:44
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.15%E -2.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.22%E -1.60%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 20:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.70%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 20:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:44
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 21:45
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.54%E -3.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 21:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 20:35
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:50
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.02%E -4.17%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-29 21:30
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-29 21:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-29 21:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-07-29 21:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%9.8%2026-07-29 21:45
Arbitrage (1 combinaison) +0.41%GTbets 1.95 (51.5%) / Pinnacle 2.07 (48.5%)Afficher les détails
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)Chicago Cubs (Visiteur)Marge
GTbets 1.95 (51.5%)Pinnacle 2.07 (48.5%)+0.410%