Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

Inizio: 2026-07-30 18:16 UTC

Finale: St. Louis Cardinals 2–4 Chicago Cubs

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 50.93%1.96quota equa
EV -1.20%
Vantaggio -0.616%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%50.93%50.94%53.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.851.871.9458.48%53.99%53.48%51.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.07%2.04quota equa
EV +1.58%
Vantaggio +0.761%
Kelly +1.47%
Crescita +0.023%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.34%49.07%49.06%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.961.952.0754.05%50.92%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: St. Louis Cardinals (Casa): 50.93%; Chicago Cubs (Trasferta): 49.07%. Per Chicago Cubs (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.04. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.07, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.58%.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-30 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-30 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-30 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -8.84%E -4.94%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +1.58%E +0.761%K +1.47%G +0.023%4.2%2026-07-30 18:10
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:14
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:10
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:09
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -9.34%E -5.25%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +1.08%E +0.526%K +1.02%G +0.011%4.7%2026-07-30 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003%5.3%2026-07-30 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003%5.3%2026-07-30 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -9.85%E -5.57%K -12.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +0.594%E +0.290%K +0.565%G +0.003%5.3%2026-07-30 18:10
Everygame🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -0.878%E -0.435%K -0.861%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 17:25
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.86%E -0.930%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 17:25
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.20%E -0.616%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.71%E -0.884%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:15
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.71%E -0.884%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.84%E -1.43%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-30 17:25
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -12.91%E -7.55%K -18.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -3.33%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-30 18:15
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -3.82%E -1.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 18:09
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 16:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:39
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 16:35
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 15:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 16:55
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 14:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:40
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.31%E -2.21%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 16:30
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 17:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 17:40
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 18:14
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.83%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.80%E -2.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 18:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.29%E -2.74%K -5.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.21%E -1.15%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 18:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 16:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.79%E -3.01%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 17:59
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 17:34
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.43%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 16:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.55%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 18:14
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 17:59
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -6.80%E -3.71%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -6.77%E -3.56%K -7.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.31%E -4.02%K -8.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.26%E -3.84%K -8.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-30 18:03
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.75%E -4.12%K -8.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 18:08
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.78%E -3.12%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.22%E -4.98%K -10.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 18:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-30 18:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-30 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-30 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-30 17:30
Novig◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-30 18:14
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-30 17:40
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-07-30 18:15
Polymarket◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-30 17:55
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-07-30 18:10
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-07-30 17:40