Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals v Chicago Cubs

2026-07-30 18:16 UTC — MLB

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38 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)

Previsione 52.09%1.92quota equa
EV +1.58%
Vantaggio +0.809%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.026%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.98%52.12%52.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.841.831.9556.50%54.48%54.64%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.91%2.09quota equa
EV -0.829%
Vantaggio -0.401%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.07

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.19%48.02%47.88%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.971.982.0752.63%50.65%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV +1.58%E +0.809%K +1.66%G +0.026%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-29 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.505%E -0.265%K -0.555%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 20:00
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.540%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.97%E -4.72%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.03%E -0.540%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.97%E -4.72%K -9.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 20:00
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.55%E -0.819%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.27%E -1.11%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-29 21:15
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -0.829%E -0.401%K -0.775%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-29 21:25
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.70%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-29 21:44
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.63%E -1.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:40
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.15%E -2.26%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:20
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.22%E -1.60%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-29 20:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -3.70%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 20:10
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:20
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 20:15
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:20
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:44
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-29 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 21:45
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-29 20:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -4.67%E -2.55%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -7.54%E -3.90%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-29 21:45
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.19%E -2.85%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.14%E -2.60%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 20:35
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.71%E -3.16%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.62%E -2.85%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-29 21:45
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:05
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:35
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.18%E -2.09%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-29 20:50
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.24%E -3.46%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.58%E -3.37%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-29 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -7.28%E -4.09%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -8.02%E -4.17%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 21:45
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.80%E -4.41%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.49%E -4.45%K -9.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-29 21:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-29 21:30
Novig1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-29 21:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-29 21:30
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-07-29 21:30
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%9.8%2026-07-29 21:45
Arbitraggio (1 combinazione) +0.41%GTbets 1.95 (51.5%) / Pinnacle 2.07 (48.5%)Mostra dettagli
St. Louis Cardinals (Casa)Chicago Cubs (Trasferta)Margine
GTbets 1.95 (51.5%)Pinnacle 2.07 (48.5%)+0.410%