Language:English
St. Louis Cardinals v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St. Louis Cardinals (Local)
Prediction 44.39%2.25fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.82%44.37%44.43%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.182.2348.78%46.05%45.87%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 55.61%1.80fair odd
EV +0.103%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%55.63%55.57%57.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.8060.61%58.59%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Louis Cardinals (Local): 44.39%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 55.61%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.798. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.800, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.103%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -4.12%E -1.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV +0.103%E +0.057%K +0.129%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.57%E -0.884%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.79%E -1.27%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.12%E -1.21%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.90%E -0.862%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.68%E -1.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.46%E -2.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.23%E -1.86%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.79%E -2.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 22:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 22:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.90%E -2.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.01%E -4.39%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.35%E -2.53%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 21:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.79%E -3.23%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.90%E -2.87%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.24%E -1.48%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.68%E -1.70%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 20:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.46%E -3.21%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.01%E -3.56%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 20:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.57%E -3.91%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -1.02%E -0.456%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 02:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.57%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.13%E -4.27%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.68%E -4.63%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 22:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.35%E -1.07%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.24%E -4.99%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 22:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 45.23% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 54.77% | -1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:14 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 20:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 21:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 23:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 22:25 |